Projections published by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now indicate that there will be more than 127,000 deaths from coronavirus in the United States by June 27.
The group’s forecast is based on 20 individual expectations from external institutions and researchers. The new forecast, published Thursday, predicted 127,230 deaths by June 27, with a potential range from 118,450 to 143,340 deaths.
“This week’s national group forecasts that the number of newly reported COVID-19 deaths per week will continue to decrease. The CDC expects, on its website, to forecast between 118,000 and 143,000 cumulative deaths of COVID-19 by June 27. .
Unlike some individual models, CDC forecasts only provide forecasts for next month. The previous group, which was published last Thursday, predicts that 122300 will die by June 20.
Projections are posted on the CDC’s “Outlook Predictions” page 19, but they also appear in the agency’s “COVID data tracker”. In both locations, users can view statewide group forecasts as well.
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention says on its forecast page: “The group’s projections indicate that the newly reported death rate will differ between states.”
“In some states, cumulative deaths will increase almost at the same rate as in recent weeks, while other states are likely to experience only a small number of additional deaths from COVID-19.”